Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 19.958325 22.759841 25.817927 29.404753 33.497919 38.025094 43.414850
2024-10-13 16.154259 19.837096 24.164176 29.626899 36.345969 44.349438 54.621549
2024-10-20 12.918724 16.959288 22.032655 28.878568 37.890979 49.373845 65.155578
2024-10-27 10.622900 14.844287 20.484656 28.586514 39.955729 55.389213 78.015913
2024-11-03 9.188995 13.625165 19.913111 29.499025 43.795547 64.413730 96.570029
2024-11-10 8.104256 12.713817 19.625099 30.776474 48.403542 75.339470 119.914106
2024-11-17 6.984319 11.557985 18.790435 31.106222 51.680812 84.901949 143.077054
2024-11-24 5.813597 10.118547 17.277457 30.106574 52.692879 91.121477 162.137666
2024-12-01 4.860762 8.875675 15.879494 29.056182 53.444348 97.064551 181.935755
2024-12-08 4.207533 8.043692 15.049444 28.859335 55.677526 106.004820 208.908133
2024-12-15 3.727171 7.445525 14.540918 29.168216 58.916039 117.381892 242.783160
2024-12-22 3.300504 6.875750 13.990264 29.299222 61.841148 128.696669 278.835232
2024-12-29 3.012300 6.549717 13.896702 30.413754 67.148785 146.123200 332.038817
2025-01-05 2.677528 6.065791 13.398039 30.590983 70.531193 160.234305 381.237316
2025-01-12 2.315389 5.455413 12.522816 29.777250 71.570210 169.459788 421.422023
2025-01-19 2.041846 4.996879 11.905410 29.444002 73.680115 181.599140 471.443157
2025-01-26 1.881602 4.779107 11.810198 30.358075 79.038646 202.655689 548.868218
2025-02-02 1.758683 4.631261 11.858984 31.651544 85.653385 228.250700 644.315745
2025-02-09 1.599924 4.361480 11.555159 31.973361 89.795670 248.326475 729.474919
2025-02-16 1.400904 3.946711 10.801020 30.932050 90.002430 257.869162 786.916544
2025-02-23 1.227178 3.569073 10.079073 29.842182 89.864797 266.478474 843.850487
2025-03-02 1.108166 3.325319 9.685202 29.631831 92.302125 283.143293 929.990631
2025-03-09 1.020249 3.156745 9.476856 29.942591 96.422261 305.807209 1041.211526